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"If you don't care about science enough to be interested in it on its own, you shouldn't try to write hard science fiction."
- Frederik Pohl
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Very Large Black Boxes |
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Creating a computer system that solves problems without specific programming. |
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This is a remarkable intuition by Lem, describing how modern LLMs can solve problems without being specifically understandable by the humans who made them. The solutions are emergent (see Emergent Abilities of Large Language Models (Wei et al., 2022).
| In the old days, people understood both the function and the structure of their tools: a hammer, an arrow, a bow... The process of alienation, the separation of the knowledge about various devices from social consciousness, carries on.
Cybernetics furthers this process, moving it to a higher level—since it is theoretically capable of producing things the structure of which will not be understood by anyone. A cybernetic device thus becomes a “black box” (a term frequently used by experts). A “black box” can be a regulator involved in a particular process (one that involves the production of goods, their economic circulation, the coordination of transportation, curing an illness, etc.). The important thing is for given “inputs” to correspond to given “outputs”—that is all.
The “black boxes” constructed at the present moment [1964-ed] are still quite simple, which is why an engineer–cyberneticist is able to understand the relationship between such pairs—which is represented by a mathematical function.
Yet a situation may arise when even he will not know a mathematical representation of this function. The designer’s task will be to build a “black box” which performs the necessary regulation. But neither the designer nor anyone else will know how this “black box” is performing it. He will not know the mathematical function representing the correlation between “inputs” and “outputs.”
A “black box” cannot be programmed with an algorithm. An algorithm is a ready-made program that predicts everything in advance. It is commonly said that an algorithm is a scientific, repeatable, and reproducible prescription that shows how to solve a particular task step by step. Any formalized proof of a mathematical thesis and a computer program that undertakes translation from one language into another are all algorithms...
Yet when it comes to very complex systems such as society, the brain, or the yet nonexistent “very large black boxes,” it is not possible to gain such knowledge, as systems of this kind do not have algorithms...
The uniqueness of the cybernetic solution, whereby a machine is completely alienated from the domain of human knowledge, has actually already been used by Nature for a long time now. This may be true, someone will say, but man has been given his “black box,” his body and brain, focused on finding optimal solutions to life problems, by Nature—which constructed them through a trial-and-error period lasting billions of years. Are we supposed to try to copy its results? And, if this is indeed the case, then how are we supposed to do it?
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Technovelgy from Summa Technologiae,
by Stanislaw Lem.
Published by Not Known in 1964
Additional resources -
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Compare to computer play time> from Point of View (1975) by Isaac Asimov and computers can dream from 2010: Odyssey Two (1982) by Isaac Asimov.
Published by Not known in 1982
Thanks to RePopulus for putting me on the track of this item.
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