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"The science fiction method is dissection and reconstruction. You look at the world around you, and take it apart into its components. Then you take some of those components, throw them away, and plug in different ones, start it up and see what happens."
- Frederik Pohl

Psycho-History  
  The application of psychology to historical data.  

Surprisingly, Isaac Asimov was not the first one to make use of this portmanteau word.

You made a name for yourself in the field of Psycho-History and taught at the University of Megalon...

The Director’s eyes were dangerous. But I plunged on recklessly. “Yes, mass hypnotism — that has been your secret weapon. You may have deluded most of the world, but you forget I studied psycho-history in what you are pleased to call the Barbaric Era. Earlier dictators than you fumbled around with the idea of mass hypnosis. There was a man named Hitler back in the 1930s and ’40s who used it with some crude success. But he didn’t know anything about the scientific end of it. He employed no hypnosis rays or skillful projections to break into the unconscious and the subliminal thresholds. He relied on a raucous voice and emotional reiterations. You have been far cleverer. Your Sunday Assemblies renew your contacts with all the earth, rebathing the poor dupes in hypnosis rays and sliding afresh the projectional suggestions of your voice and mind into theirs.”

I held her tight. “All eyewitness accounts are like that,” I told her earnestly. “As the wife of a man who has devoted most of his life to the application of psychology to historical data you ought to realize that.

From Beyond All Weapons, by Eric Frank Russell.
Published by Astounding Science Fiction in 1941
Additional resources -

Compare to the article on psychohistory from Isaac Asimov's 1951 story Foundation.

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  More Ideas and Technology from Beyond All Weapons
  More Ideas and Technology by Eric Frank Russell
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